Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.649269 1.787338 1.933703 2.100781 2.286664 2.487619 2.721969
2025-12-14 1.421350 1.607460 1.815824 2.067737 2.365839 2.709572 3.139120
2025-12-21 1.248947 1.455011 1.694736 1.996762 2.370716 2.823294 3.419813
2025-12-28 1.157495 1.381883 1.651387 2.002972 2.455562 3.027029 3.817032
2026-01-04 1.092066 1.331331 1.626704 2.023934 2.553210 3.247502 4.250221
2026-01-11 1.039457 1.290705 1.608491 2.047652 2.651370 3.471616 4.705795
2026-01-18 0.993049 1.253421 1.589979 2.066674 2.741009 3.687553 5.167917
2026-01-25 0.946911 1.212587 1.562685 2.069624 2.805577 3.869976 5.595749
2026-02-01 0.890262 1.153737 1.506531 2.026891 2.799052 3.944708 5.861101
2026-02-08 0.844323 1.106573 1.463076 1.998233 2.809230 4.042693 6.170206
2026-02-15 0.808105 1.070671 1.432872 1.985998 2.841763 4.175780 6.548877
2026-02-22 0.789961 1.058937 1.435903 2.022435 2.950749 4.437950 7.176980
2026-03-01 0.757438 1.025582 1.406543 2.008985 2.981643 4.577996 7.610942
2026-03-08 0.725174 0.991037 1.373562 1.987695 2.997937 4.694405 8.015267
2026-03-15 0.683503 0.940774 1.314564 1.921759 2.935277 4.668236 8.142139
2026-03-22 0.663541 0.921697 1.301512 1.927935 2.993633 4.859517 8.719899
2026-03-29 0.648405 0.909041 1.297412 1.947945 3.076510 5.101649 9.432929
2026-04-05 0.634860 0.898079 1.295190 1.970541 3.165004 5.361604 10.219914
2026-04-12 0.621116 0.886122 1.290653 1.988657 3.246299 5.614743 11.028771
2026-04-19 0.604824 0.869468 1.277735 1.991467 3.299351 5.816814 11.750822
2026-04-26 0.580236 0.838839 1.240929 1.950770 3.268130 5.846101 12.067084
2026-05-03 0.559875 0.814132 1.212688 1.923472 3.260172 5.921843 12.506871
2026-05-10 0.543806 0.795666 1.193886 1.911816 3.281285 6.059913 13.123976